Structured Credit & Securitized Yield

Credit risk packaged into tradable instruments — from ABS and MBS to CLOs and consumer loan funds.

Market Size
$12T+ US securitized debt market; $1.5T CLO market; $8T MBS market; $1.5T ABS market
Typical Returns
Consumer loan funds: 4-8% net yields; CLO debt: 6-10% yields; CLO equity: 12-18% IRR; ABS: 4-6% yields; MBS: 3-5% yields

Overview

Structured credit and securitized yield encompasses credit risk packaged into tradable instruments including ABS (asset-backed securities), MBS (mortgage-backed securities), CLOs (collateralized loan obligations), and consumer loan funds. Market size: $12T+ US securitized debt market (2024). Investment access via: (1) Consumer loan funds (LendingClub, Prosper notes), (2) ABS ETFs and funds, (3) CLO equity and debt tranches (institutional), (4) MBS funds and ETFs. Returns: Consumer loan funds 4-8% net yields; CLO equity 12-18% IRR; ABS 4-6% yields. Key advantages: Higher yields than treasuries, diversification across thousands of loans, senior tranches offer credit enhancement. Risks: Credit cycles (2008 MBS crisis), prepayment risk, and complexity. Suitable for sophisticated fixed-income investors seeking yield enhancement with controlled credit exposure.

Key Benefits

  • Yield enhancement: ABS/MBS offer 100-300bps over treasuries; CLO equity 12-18% vs. 5% high-yield bonds
  • Diversification: Portfolios backed by thousands of loans (auto, credit cards, mortgages); reduces single-borrower risk
  • Credit enhancement: Senior tranches protected by subordination (equity/junior debt absorbs first losses); AAA ratings achievable
  • Floating rate structures: Most CLOs and ABS float with SOFR; interest rate hedge (rates rise = coupons rise)
  • Prepayment income: When loans prepay, reinvest at higher rates (if rising rate environment); positive convexity
  • Analytical transparency: Detailed loan-level data available (LTV, FICO scores, geographic distribution); model credit risk
  • Liquidity: MBS and ABS trade daily (though spreads widen in stress); more liquid than direct loan portfolios

Accessing Structured Credit

1

Start with Consumer Loan Platforms

LendingClub and Prosper (now institutional-only) pioneered retail access to consumer loans. Current options: Yieldstreet consumer loan funds (minimum $10K), Percent consumer credit (minimum $500). Returns: 5-8% net yields. Diversification across 100-1,000 loans. Default risk: 3-7% annually. Good entry point to securitized credit.

2

Explore ABS via ETFs

iShares Short-Term ABS ETF (IBMS) provides diversified ABS exposure (auto loans, credit cards, student loans). Expense ratio 0.25%. Yield 4-6%. Duration 1-2 years (low interest rate risk). Alternative to treasuries for enhanced yield with minimal added risk. Good for conservative investors.

3

Consider MBS Funds for Mortgages

PIMCO Mortgage Opportunities Fund (PMO) actively manages MBS portfolio. Yield 8-10%. Leverage used; higher risk than ABS. Residential and commercial mortgages. Professional management handles prepayment risk, credit analysis. Suitable for income-focused investors comfortable with mortgage credit.

4

Understand CLO Structures (Advanced)

CLOs (collateralized loan obligations) package corporate loans into tranches. CLO debt (senior): 6-8% yields, AAA/AA rated. CLO equity (junior): 12-18% IRR but first-loss position. Institutional minimums ($250K-$1M). Extremely complex; requires credit expertise. For sophisticated investors only.

Structured Credit Risks

Important considerations before investing in structured credit & securitized yield

  • Credit cycle: Consumer credit defaults surge in recessions (2008: 15-20%; 2020: 8-12%); MBS/ABS losses spike
  • Complexity: Structured products difficult to analyze; waterfall structures, prepayment models, credit enhancement math opaque
  • Prepayment risk: When rates fall, loans prepay; reinvest at lower rates (negative convexity); MBS especially affected
  • Model risk: Credit models underestimate default correlations; 2008 MBS crisis example (models assumed no nationwide housing decline)
  • Leverage risk: CLO equity and mortgage REITs use 3-10x leverage; amplifies losses in downturns
  • Liquidity: ABS/MBS spreads widen 200-500bps in stress (March 2020); forced sellers face significant losses
  • Regulatory changes: Dodd-Frank risk retention rules, Basel III capital requirements affect CLO/ABS structures
  • Tranche subordination: Junior tranches absorb losses first; CLO equity can lose 100% in severe downturns despite senior tranche protection

Due Diligence Checklist

  • Understand tranche structure: Senior tranches (AAA) protected by 30-40% subordination; equity tranches first-loss position; assess risk/return tradeoff
  • Check underlying collateral: Auto ABS safer than subprime credit cards; prime mortgages safer than non-QM loans; collateral quality drives returns
  • Analyze historical default rates: Consumer loans 3-7% defaults; auto loans 1-3%; credit cards 4-8%. Model expected losses vs. yields
  • Assess prepayment models: MBS sensitive to rate changes; use option-adjusted spread (OAS) analysis; avoid negative convexity exposures
  • Review manager track record: For CLO equity and MBS funds, manager skill critical; check performance in 2008, 2020
  • Verify credit enhancement: What % subordination protects senior tranches? 30%+ = strong; <20% = weak
  • Understand leverage: CLO equity, mortgage REITs use 3-10x leverage; amplifies both gains and losses; check debt-to-equity ratios
  • Compare to alternatives: Are ABS yields sufficient vs. high-yield bonds? Often ABS offer 100-200bps premium for better credit quality

Real-World Examples

IBMS ETF (2020-2024): $10K invested grew to $11K (2% CAGR). Underperformed treasuries (3%) due to tight spreads but lower volatility. Good cash alternative.

PIMCO Mortgage Fund (2008 crisis): Lost 50% (MBS crash) but recovered fully by 2012. Illustrates MBS volatility but also resilience with professional management.

CLO equity returns (2010-2020): Top quartile CLO equity generated 15-18% IRR. Bottom quartile: 8-10% IRR. Median: 12-13% IRR. Significant manager selection importance.

LendingClub consumer loans (2015-2020): $10K diversified across 200 loans. Default rate: 5%. Net return after defaults: 5.5% annually. Beat bonds, lagged stocks.

Subprime auto ABS (2023): Springboard auto ABS yielded 8% (subprime borrowers). Defaults rose to 10% (2024 recession fears). Investors faced losses despite high yields. Illustrates credit risk.